Strategic Analysis Caucasus Brief
Review of May 2025
Tomáš Baranec
Armenia

Vineyards, Aragatsotn province, Armenia. Photo: Elena Diego/ Shutterstock.com
Yerevan and Moscow: Another roller coaster ride
Relations between Moscow and Yerevan were again characterised by turbulence in May 2025, marked by an escalation of tensions and attempts at stabilisation. At the end of April, the Kremlin started ramping up efforts to reassert its influence in Armenia ahead of the country’s 2026 parliamentary elections, the Vedomosti business daily reported, citing officials and other sources familiar with the strategy.
The initiative is being overseen by the Kremlin’s domestic policy chief, Sergei Kiriyenko, and will focus on shaping public opinion and cultivating pro-Russian political figures. “The Armenian leadership is drifting further toward the West, which is unacceptable from the standpoint of Russian state policy,” Vedomosti quoted a source close to the presidential administration as saying. Kiriyenko has been tasked with employing soft power to advance Moscow’s interests in Yerevan, according to another source.
On May 2, Speaker of the National Assembly of Armenia Alen Simonyan sparked discontent in Moscow after hinting that Russia is waging a hybrid war against Armenia. The Speaker of the National Assembly of Armenia believes that these attempts will intensify by the 2026 elections and will have the opposite effect, while the rating of the ruling faction “Civil Contract” will double, for which the faction “will be grateful”. The Russian Foreign Ministry dismissed Simonian’s claims.
According to Azatutyun.am, the Armenian speaker’s comments contrasted with Pashinian’s apparent efforts to ease tensions with Moscow amid global geopolitical shifts generated by the new US administration of President Donald Trump. At the same time as Simonyan accused Moscow of hybrid war against Yerevan, Russia’s Ambassador to Armenia Sergei Kopyrkin has claimed that the West is attempting to open a “second front” in Armenia. This claim was perceived by some as a veiled threat to Yerevan, echoing similar sentiments expressed about Georgia, according to OC Media
While Moscow respects Armenia’s right as a sovereign country to establish relations with whichever country it wants to, Kopyrkin said, the Kremlin “expects that our Armenian allies will not allow the Russophobic forces in the West to use their beautiful country to open a ‘second front’ of confrontation with Russia”. He further added that Russia “expects” the Armenian people not to allow the West to “undermine” Yerevan’s “process of Eurasian integration”. Meanwhile, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan continued his policy of easing tensions with Moscow. On May 8, Pashinyan arrived in Russia for a working visit and participated in events marking the 80th anniversary of the Victory in the Great Patriotic War in Moscow. He attended the military parade held on Red Square, where Russian President Vladimir Putin welcomed him alongside other foreign leaders attending the commemorations. Following the parade, the leaders laid flowers at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.
On May 21, Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in Yerevan, where they signed a 2025-2026 consultation program and discussed deepening allied relations, regional security, the 30th anniversary of the Russian military base in Armenia, the “3+3” regional cooperation platform, and the Nagorno-Karabakh negotiation process, emphasising mutual respect, continued defence cooperation, and Russia’s readiness to assist Armenia. Prime Minister Pashinyan and President Khachaturyan also held talks with Lavrov, highlighting bilateral ties, economic cooperation, and the importance of stable peace based on mutual benefit and trust.
Lavrov reiterated Russia’s support for Armenia’s sovereignty, territorial integrity, and defence capabilities, describing these as central elements of the allied relationship: “We continue to view the security area to be one of the most important directions of our allied ties. We are ready to support, in all possible ways, to ensure Armenia’s defence, sovereignty, and territorial integrity.”
In reaction to a question from local media, Lavrov went on to firmly reject any parallels with Ukraine, framing such comparisons as implying support for what he called the “Nazi regime” in Ukraine: “Such wording of this question means supporting the Nazi regime.” Lavrov stressed that Armenia remains a “friendly and civilised” country in Russia’s view.
Sources:
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Moscow Times, “Russia to Ramp Up Influence Efforts in Armenia Ahead of Parliamentary Elections – Vedomosti”, https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/04/30/russia-to-ramp-up-influence-efforts-in-armenia-ahead-of-parliamentary-elections-vedomosti-a88926
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Arm Info, “Hybrid war being waged against Armenia and money coming from Russia: Alen Simonyan”, https://arminfo.info/full_news.php?id=91248&lang=3
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GALASTIAN Shoghik, Azatutyun.am, “Moscow Rejects Armenian Speaker’s ‘Attacks’”, https://www.azatutyun.am/a/33406439.html
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Caucasus Watch, “Armenian Officials Participate in Both Europe Day and Victory Day Celebrations”,https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/armenian-officials-participate-in-both-europe-day-and-victory-day-celebrations.html
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Caucasus Watch, “Lavrov’s Yerevan Visit: Support for Armenia’s Security, Russian Military Base, “3+3” Regional Format, CSTO’s Response to 2022 Clashes”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/lavrovs-yerevan-visit-support-for-armenias-security-russian-military-base-33-regional-format-cstos-response-to-2022-clashes.html
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Caucasus Watch, “Russia Rejects Comparisons Between Armenia and Ukraine, Reaffirms Alliance”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/russia-rejects-comparisons-between-armenia-and-ukraine-reaffirms-alliance.html
Media Landscape in Armenia: May 2025
Press Freedom has continued to improve in Armenia, but watchdog warns of growing threats. According to the latest press freedom index from Reporters Without Borders, Armenia continued to climb, reaching 34th place in the world, the highest of any country in the Caucasus since the index began. Armenia continued to outpace EU countries, such as Italy and Croatia, as well as the US.
The report classified the situation for journalists in Armenia as “satisfactory”. Nevertheless, it warned that while formally pluralistic, Armenia’s media environment is grappling with severe polarisation, rampant disinformation, and growing hostility toward journalists.
Following Armenia’s progress in the World Press Freedom Index, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s Chief of Staff Arayik Harutyunyan underscored the need for urgent self-regulation by journalists and media outlets, warning that in case there is a failure to do so, “the public will force the authorities to use serious regulatory tools, which you will qualify as a restriction on freedom of speech”.
In his first post, celebrating Armenia’s remarkable progress, Harutyunyan foresaw that the major news would be covered with “manipulative” headlines in Armenia. “But regardless of who writes what, in any case, we are on the very right path, and I congratulate all of us on that. This is an indicator that, for about 20 years, we could only dream about”, Harutyunyan wrote.
In the following post of the same evening, he addressed journalists, media outlets, and journalistic unions, saying that he had followed the comments on publications about Armenia’s progress in the index, suggesting that “there is certainly serious cause for reflection.” “Because it is obvious that the public has noted that the state has ensured unprecedented press freedom, but you interpret that freedom as permissiveness, an opportunity to incite intolerance, a means of inciting provocation”, wrote Harutyunyan.
Sources:
- FABBRO Robin, OC Media, „Armenia makes gains as Georgia continues freefall in latest RSF Press Freedom Index“,https://oc-media.org/armenia-makes-gains-as-georgia-continues-freefall-in-latest-rsf-press-freedom-index/
- BARSEFHYAN Arshaluys, OC Media, “Armenian official hints at a crackdown on media in case there is no ‘self-regulation’”, https://oc-media.org/armenian-official-hints-at-a-crackdown-on-media-in-case-there-is-no-self-regulation/
- Caucasus Watch, “Media Watchdog Warns of Growing Threats to Journalism in Armenia”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/media-watchdog-warns-of-growing-threats-to-journalism-in-armenia.html

Photo: Shutterstock.com
Former presidents argue over tactics to topple Pashinyan
The opposition Armenia Alliance faction of former president Robert Kocharyan has seemingly accused the newly formed We Are Awake movement of former president Serzh Sargsyan of attempting to “blackmail” their MPs as part of a campaign to impeach Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan.
In a statement on May 2, the Armenia Alliance appeared to suggest that the movement was using “the language of blackmail”, adding that “such actions cannot go unanswered” and expressing doubts about whether the initiative is actually capable of mobilising street protests in parallel with Pashinyan’s potential impeachment process.
The statement came as a rift between former political allies, Robert Kocharyan, who was President from 1998 to 2008, and Serzh Sargsyan, who succeeded him, continues to grow, writes to OC Media. At the end of April, members of the We Are Awake movement submitted letters to all 107 MPs in parliament, urging them to launch impeachment proceedings against Pashinyan while vowing to launch street protests to secure his removal. While no opposition MP has launched such an initiative, the letters have further deepened the rift between the two main opposition factions, as well as between supporters of Kocharyan and Sargsyan.
Sources:
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BARSEFHYAN Arshaluys, OC Media, “Armenian opposition leaders Kocharyan and Sargsyan split over Pashinyan impeachment”, https://oc-media.org/armenian-opposition-leaders-kocharyan-and-sargsyan-split-over-pashinyan-impeachment/
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Civilnet.am, “Former presidents argue over tactics to topple Pashinyan”, https://www.civilnet.am/en/news/949050/former-presidents-argue-over-tactics-to-topple-pashinyan/
Former president Serzh Sargsyan accused of accepting nearly 3 Million USD in bribes
The former President of Armenia, Serzh Sargsyan, is accused of accepting approximately 2.985 million USD in bribes, according to Armenia’s Anti-Corruption Committee. According to the Committee’s statement, Sargsyan allegedly used his official position to assist the CEO of an unnamed limited liability company (LLC) by not obstructing the sale of 100% of the company’s shares to a non-resident firm. The alleged actions reportedly took place during his presidency. The purpose of the transfers was listed as “charity,” and the funds were reportedly used to pay for the presidential inauguration, balloon rentals at an event held in Yerevan a few days later, and other expenses.
If convicted, Sargsyan could face up to 12 years in prison and the confiscation of property. However, legal experts suggest a prison sentence is unlikely due to the expiration of the statute of limitations. Sargsyan first went on trial in 2020 for allegedly helping a longtime friend and businessman win a public procurement contract in 2013. He and several other defendants were cleared of any wrongdoing in 2024. The judge who issued that ruling was removed from the bench last October, officially due to his handling of another trial. An appeals court overturned the acquittal last month.
Sources:
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Massis Post, “Former President Serzh Sargsyan Accused of Accepting Nearly $3 Million in Bribes”, https://massispost.com/2025/05/former-president-serzh-sargsyan-accused-of-accepting-nearly-3-million-in-bribes/
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Zartonk, “Former Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan Charged in $3 Million Bribery Case Dating Back to 2008”, https://zartonkmedia.com/2025/05/26/former-armenian-president-serzh-sargsyan-charged-in-3-million-bribery-case-dating-back-to-2008/

Photo: Shutterstock.com
Yerevan continues cautious policy of de-escalation in relations with Azerbaijan
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev met on May 16 on the sidelines of the European Political Community summit being held in Tirana. Pashinyan’s office released a short video of the conversation, showing the two men talking face-to-face in what appears to be a lobby of a conference hall, with the Armenian and Azerbaijani foreign ministers looking on and later joining the conversation.
“Both sides emphasised the importance of the fact of reaching an agreement on the text of the Armenia-Azerbaijan Peace Agreement,” a statement by Pashinyan’s office said, “The parties discussed the current situation and attached importance to the continuity of the process towards its signing,” the statement added. However, Aliyev’s office and news outlets controlled by the Azerbaijani regime did not comment on the talks.
At the same time, Armenian Defense Minister Suren Papikyan avoided commenting on Azerbaijan’s border shootings, while Armenian President Vahagn Khachaturyan and Prime Minister Pashinyan addressed the issue in separate remarks regarding the ongoing peace talks and related constitutional concerns between Yerevan and Baku.
Sources:
- Asbarez, “Pashinyan, Aliyev Meet in Albania”, https://asbarez.com/pashinyan-aliyev-meet-in-albania/
- Caucasus Watch, “Armenian Officials Respond to Azerbaijan Border Shootings, Reaffirm Peace Talks Commitment”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/armenian-officials-respond-to-azerbaijan-border-shootings-reaffirm-peace-talks-commitment.html
Slovakia and Armenia deepen ties in defence, energy, and EU cooperation
During an official visit to Yerevan, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico and Ministry of Economy State Secretary Vladimír Šimoňák highlighted defence and energy as key areas for cooperation with Armenia. Slovakia, which supplies technology for Armenia’s Soviet-era nuclear plant, offered further support from its nuclear and defence industries.
Fico and Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan agreed to strengthen economic ties in these sectors. Fico also backed closer Armenia–EU relations and offered Slovakia’s EU integration expertise. At the Yerevan Dialogue forum, he called Armenia a key regional partner and voiced support for the EU observer mission and peace efforts with Azerbaijan. Pashinyan accepted an invitation to visit Slovakia. Fico also paid tribute to the victims of the Armenian Genocide of 1915-18 in Yerevan.
Sources:
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STVR.sk, “Slovakia and Armenia deepen ties in defence, energy, and EU cooperation”, https://enrsi.stvr.sk/articles/news/403646/slovakia-and-armenia-deepen-ties-in-defence-energy-and-eu-cooperation
Relations with Russia are turbulent once again
In May 2025, already turbulent relations between Baku and Moscow entered another phase of deterioration. On May 2, Ramid Namazov, Chairman of the Azerbaijani Parliament’s Temporary Commission against Foreign Interference and Hybrid Threats, claimed that a cyberattack targeting several Azerbaijani media outlets on February 20, 2025, was organised from Russia.
During a public discussion titled “February 20 Attacks on Azerbaijani Media Resources: From Cyber Interference to Disinformation,” Namazov stated that the attack was executed at a high technical level by the cyber-espionage group APT29, also known as Cozy Bear, Midnight Blizzard, and The Dukes, which is linked to Russian intelligence services. He emphasised that the group is known for conducting significant cyber operations, particularly against government agencies, diplomatic missions, and critical sectors such as defence, media, and energy.
On May 4, Azerbaijani MP Azer Badamov was detained at Moscow’s airport and was not allowed to board a flight to Astrakhan. Badamov, a member of the official Azerbaijani delegation, was informed that he was banned from entering the country. The Russian side did not provide the grounds for this decision. Azerbaijani media characterised the situation as “another test of resilience” in relations between the two countries.
Soon after the incident, Azerbaijani pro-government media outlet APA claimed that Russia has yet to provide Baku with any information uncovered during its alleged investigation into the deadly Azerbaijan Airlines crash in December 2024, despite the matter being raised on a monthly basis. “During these five months, no investigative actions have been carried out by Russia. None of the individuals responsible for or guilty of causing the crash have been subjected to any arrest or preventive measures, an unnamed source told APA.
Russia stated that it had launched its own investigation, but according to APA’s source, no substantive findings have been released. Instead, Russia has offered “various excuses” as to why the investigation has not yielded any results. “The Azerbaijani side is expecting concrete steps from Russia on the matter”, the source said.
At the same time, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev suddenly decided not to attend the May 9 Victory Day parade in Moscow. According to Russian media citing presidential aide Yury Ushakov, the Azerbaijani side has officially informed Moscow of the decision. “We received a message that, unfortunately, Aliyev will not be coming. The explanation given was that he must take part in domestic events dedicated to Heydar Aliyev,” Ushakov told journalist Alexander Yunashev.
The pro-government media outlet, Aze.Media, said, “It was naive to expect [Aliyev] to attend the Victory Day Parade in Moscow”, adding that “Baku no longer tolerates an imperial tone”. Referencing Aliyev’s cancellation, Jamil Hasanli, a prominent opposition politician, told OC Media that “Russia is currently in a state of disintegration, and there was hope that [US President Donald] Trump would come to power and save [Russian President Vladimir] Putin, but that did not happen. So, Aliyev has no incentive to visit Moscow”. “Another issue for visiting Moscow is the danger [factor], as Ukrainian President [Volodymyr Zelenskyy] also warned countries about [possible] drone attacks”, Hasanli said.
On May 15, Maria Zakharova, the Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson, stated that Russia seeks to fully realise the potential of its relations with Azerbaijan based on the 2022 Declaration on Allied Cooperation. Zakharova emphasised that Moscow remains committed to consistently developing this foundational agreement and resolving any emerging issues in a mutually respectful and beneficial manner. She noted that both countries maintain a series of high-level contacts through government and foreign ministry channels. Zakharova also recalled the participation of Azerbaijani Armed Forces units in the May 9 Victory Parade on Red Square, highlighting their shared remembrance of ethnic Azerbaijani veterans who fought in the Red Army during World War II. She stressed the unity between the peoples of Russia and Azerbaijan, rooted in their shared reverence for historical memory and the valour of their ancestors.
Sources:
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Caucasus Watch, “Azerbaijani MP Claims Russia Behind February Cyberattack”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/azerbaijani-mp-claims-russia-behind-february-cyberattack.html
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APA, “Azerbaijani MP Azer Badamov detained at Moscow airport and deported”, https://en.apa.az/incident/azerbaijani-mp-azer-badamov-detained-at-moscow-airport-and-deported-466732
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Aze.media, “What lies behind the deportation of the Azerbaijani MP from Moscow?”, https://aze.media/what-lies-behind-the-deportation-of-the-azerbaijani-mp-from-moscow/
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OSTILLER Nate, OC Media, „Baku says Russia is dragging its feet on December’s deadly plane crash”, https://oc-media.org/baku-says-russia-is-dragging-its-feet-on-decembers-deadly-plane-crash/
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Caliber.az, “Azerbaijani president not attending May 9 parade in Moscow”, https://caliber.az/en/post/azerbaijani-president-not-attending-may-9-parade-in-moscow
OSTILLER Nate, OC Media, „In last-minute cancellation, Aliyev will not attend Moscow Victory Day celebration“, https://oc-media.org/in-last-minute-cancellation-aliyev-will-not-attend-moscow-victory-day-celebration/
Caucasus Watch, Zakharova: “We Aim To Fully Realise The Potential Of Allied Cooperation With Azerbaijan”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/zakharova-we-aim-to-fully-realize-the-potential-of-allied-cooperation-with-azerbaijan.html
Azerbaijan second worst in the latest press freedom index
Azerbaijan fell further still, to 167th out of 180 countries, falling below Belarus but less so than Russia, to remain the second-worst in Europe according to the latest press freedom index from Reporters Without Borders (RSF).
RSF continued to classify the situation for journalists in Azerbaijan as “very serious”, accusing President Ilham Aliyev of destroying “any semblance of pluralism” and, since 2014, waging “a merciless war against any remaining critics”. “A new wave of fierce repression against the country’s last remaining journalists started in November 2023”, RSF wrote, as cited by OC Media.
Sources:
- FABBRO Robin, OC Media, “Armenia makes gains as Georgia continues freefall in latest RSF Press Freedom Index”, https://oc-media.org/armenia-makes-gains-as-georgia-continues-freefall-in-latest-rsf-press-freedom-index/

Photo: Shutterstock.com
Opposition and media repressions in Azerbaijan: May 2025
Repressions against opposition figures and the media continued in Azerbaijan in May 2025. On the night of May 6-7, Azerbaijani police arrested two independent journalists, Ulviyya Ali and Ahmad Mammadli. Exiled media advocate Emin Huseynov told CPJ that after the crackdown forced the exile of outlets like Toplum TV and Abzas Media and the closure of the Turan news agency, journalists like Ali and Mammadli have become the only sources of independent in-country reporting.
Police arrested Ali, whose legal name is Ulviyya Guliyeva, as part of a criminal case against independent Germany-based outlet Meydan TV, nine of whose journalists have previously been jailed on allegations of bringing Western funding into the country illegally. Ali considered one of the most prominent independent journalists continuing to work in Azerbaijan amid the crackdown, worked as a freelance reporter for the US Congress-funded broadcaster Voice of America (VOA) before Azerbaijan cancelled the broadcaster’s accreditation in February and the Trump administration’s funding cuts, after which she continued publishing on her personal social media accounts.
Later, Guliyeva (Ali) wrote a letter from prison detailing her time in police custody, including two separate threats of rape by police officers. In one instance, listed in her letter, Guliyeva wrote that an officer punched her in the head over five times after she refused to give the police her passwords. “Seeing I wouldn’t give in, the cigarette-smoking ‘janitor‘ stood up. They each took a side of my head and began pulling my hair in opposite directions. The feeble one shouted, ‘Bring the taser.‘ They brought something and placed it on the table. When I still refused, he said, ‘I’ll ruin your ladylike composure.‘ That sentence made my stomach turn”, Guliyeva wrote. “We’ve long known what Azerbaijani police are ‘capable‘ of. They fabricate charges, beat people, and commit illegal acts. Apparently, they’re also capable of threatening to rape a woman they’ve accuse”’, she emphasised.
On May 25, Public activist Nicat Amiraslanov has reportedly been detained. Journalist Elmaddin Shamilzade shared this information on his Facebook page. He stated that he received the news of Nicat Amiraslanov’s detention from the activist’s relatives. “Public activist Nicat Amiraslanov was detained by police in Gazakh. His relatives suspect that the incident is related to his distribution of brochures concerning Elgun, who died under mysterious circumstances,” Elmaddin Shamilzade wrote.
Law enforcement agencies have not yet made any public statement regarding his detention. By decision of the Gazakh District Court, public activist Nicat Amiraslanov was sentenced to 15 days of administrative detention under Article 510 of the Code of Administrative Offenses (petty hooliganism).
Elgun Ibrahimov was a 17-year-old student who died under mysterious circumstances. He was found severely injured in an abandoned dormitory in Ganja and later died in the hospital. Government-aligned media outlets reported his death as a suicide. However, his family insists he did not take his own life but was beaten to death. Various allegations have circulated on social media claiming that the Prosecutor’s Office has not adequately investigated the case. Several activists have also been posting and distributing brochures in various areas containing information about Elgun’s case. Among the claims being circulated is the allegation that police officers murdered the teenager.
On May 20, the Serious Crimes Court in Lankaran, Azerbaijan, sentenced Igbal Abilov — an ethnic researcher and editor-in-chief of the News of the Talysh National Academy journal — to 18 years in prison. He was convicted of treason, alleged cooperation with Armenian intelligence services, and carrying out their instructions to incite interethnic hatred in Azerbaijan. Abilov denies all charges, claiming his arrest was politically motivated and linked to his research on ethnic minorities in Azerbaijan, particularly the Talysh.
Officially, he was found guilty under three articles of the Azerbaijani Criminal Code: Article 274 — treason, Article 281.3 — public calls against the state on behalf of foreign organisations, Article 283.1 — incitement of national, racial, or religious hatred. Igbal Abilov was born in Azerbaijan but lived there only until the age of five. His family later moved to Belarus, where he completed school, studied international relations at the local state university, began working on his dissertation, and taught classes. An ethnic Talysh (an ethnic group primarily living in southern Azerbaijan), Abilov dedicated himself to researching the Talysh language and culture. He became editor-in-chief of the journal Herald of the Talysh National Academy.
He was also one of the founders of the Talysh National Academy, which was registered in Riga, Latvia, in 2010. The academy’s website and journal publish samples of Talysh folklore, ethnographic research, and historical documents. Igbal travelled to Azerbaijan in the summer of 2024 to visit relatives. On July 22, he was detained by state security officers in the village of Bala Kolatan in Masalli district.
Sources:
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Committee to Protect Journalists, “Azerbaijan arrests 2 more journalists, increasing crackdown tally to 25”, https://cpj.org/2025/05/azerbaijan-arrests-two-more-journalists-increasing-crackdown-tally-to-25/
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KUENNING Xandie, OC Media, „Azerbaijani journalist Ulviyya Ali ‘threatened with rape’ by police in detention“, https://oc-media.org/azerbaijani-journalist-ulviyya-ali-threatened-with-rape-by-police-in-detention/
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IRFS, “Activist Nicat Amiraslanov Detained Over Elgun Ibrahimov Case: Torture Allegations, 15-Day Sentence”, https://www.irfs.org/news-feed/activist-nicat-amiraslanov-detained-over-elgun-ibrahimov-case-torture-allegations-15-day-sentence/
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JAM News, “Azerbaijan: researcher of Talysh culture Igbal Abilov sentenced to 18 years in prison”, https://jam-news.net/azerbaijan-researcher-of-talysh-culture-igbal-abilov-sentenced-to-18-years-in-prison/
Azerbaijan and Iran held joint military drill in Nagorno-Karabakh
The drill took place from May 18 to 21. It involved special forces from Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) Ground Forces and the Azerbaijani Army. Iranian Deputy Commander for Operations of the IRGC Ground Forces and commander of the drill, Brigadier General Vali Ma’dani, described the exercise as “a significant step toward reinforcing the security of shared borders and countering possible threats.”
This latest manoeuvre follows a similar joint exercise held in November of last year when Azerbaijani special forces and an elite IRGC battalion conducted drills in Iran’s Aslanduz region in Ardabil Province. The four-day drill, codenamed “Aras Joint Exercise,” began on November 24 and aimed to enhance military capabilities in line with agreements made between the two sides to promote their mutual interests, according to the Tehran Times.
Sources:
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Tehran Times, “Tehran, Baku launch joint military drill in Karabakh region”, https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/513214/Tehran-Baku-launch-joint-military-drill-in-Karabakh-region
Media landscape in Georgia: May 2025
In May 2025, the media sphere in Georgia was most affected by the closure of the opposition television station Mtavari Arkhi. Meanwhile, the Press Freedom Report recorded a sharp decline in local media freedom.
Georgia’s leading pro-opposition broadcaster, Mtavari Arkhi, has announced it will permanently shut down on May 1 after being off the air since the morning of February 15. Government critics vow to launch a new channel, but recent legislation gives Georgian Dream officials numerous instruments to frustrate opposition plans, writes Eurasianet.org.
The channel’s top executive, Director General Giorgi Gabunia, has accused co-founder Zaza Okuashvili of switching sides, abandoning the opposition, and joining the incumbents so he can continue to pursue his individual financial interests. “There is strong reason to suspect that he is acting in coordination with the illegitimate government or using this situation as leverage to negotiate with it,” Gabunia claimed, pointing to Okuashvili’s court battle with GD’s founder, billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili.
Nika Gvaramia, another Mtavari co-founder and currently a leading opposition figure, responded to the shutdown announcement on April 28 by defiantly declaring that a new opposition broadcaster would be formed. “Mtavari will close, but a new one will rise,” he said. “It can’t be any other way. I believe it, and I know it.” For his part, Okuashvili accused Gvaramia and Gabunia of looting the channel and “artificially pushing it to the brink of bankruptcy.” He added that his original intention was to replace the current leadership team; when that proved unfeasible, he opted for closure
While off the air, the station has not signalled anything except its statement, which reads, “The financial crisis artificially created by Zaza Okuashvili, co-founder of Mtavari Channel, is preventing the News Program from airing. Zaza Okuashvili is advancing the Russian regime’s agenda and is shutting down the country’s leading critical channel. We are working hard to secure the resources needed to restore the broadcast.” “An explanation is simple: the Mtavari channel has money, and Okuashvili is suspending its spending,” wrote Gvaramia, the opposition Coalition for Change leader, who founded the channel in 2019.
According to the International Republican Institute’s 2023 Opinion Survey, while Mtavari TV was still fully operational, the channel ranked as Georgia’s second most trusted television station. To this day, it retains a strong online readership, with over 1.4 million followers across its social media platforms.
At the same time, Georgia’s press freedom ranking has dropped sharply – from 103rd to 114th – in the 2025 World Press Freedom Index released by Reporters Without Borders (RSF), a Paris-based press freedom watchdog, on May 2. Speaking to Civil.ge, Jeanne Cavelier, head of RSF’s Eastern Europe and Central Asia desk, highlighted increasing violence against reporters and the imprisonment of journalist Mzia Amaghlobeli, who is “being treated more harshly due to her profession.” RSF also criticised the growing political control over the Georgian Public Broadcaster, which “has become a mouthpiece for the ruling party.”
Sources:
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MACHAIDZE Irakli, Eurasianet.org, “Georgia’s most influential opposition broadcaster shutting down”, https://eurasianet.org/georgias-most-influential-opposition-broadcaster-shutting-down
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Civil.ge, “Mtavari TV Goes Off Air, Blames Co-Founder Okuashvili”, https://civil.ge/archives/663009
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Civil.ge, “Georgia Falls 11 Places to 114th in RSF Press Freedom Index”, https://civil.ge/archives/678181
Chiatura Miners End Hunger Strike
The miners on the hunger strike in Chiatura ended the strike on May 21. They stated that a “trusted individual” informed them that halting the hunger strike would help the case of four fellow miners who were arrested for reportedly attacking the head of the mining company, reported OC Media.
The miners, who announced their decision on social media, did not specify who informed them that ending the hunger strike would help their detained colleagues. Four miners were arrested on April 29 for reportedly attacking the head of the mining company after he allegedly called them a “herd of cattle”. Giorgi Neparidze, Merab Saralidze, Tengiz Gvelesiani, and Achiko Chumburidze were initially detained on charges of causing intentional minor injury.
Saralidze and Neparidze were later charged with organising and participating in group violence, an offence that carries a prison sentence of six to nine years. Chumburidze and Gvelesiani, meanwhile, have been accused of participating in a group offence, which is punishable by four to six years in prison.
The protest began in Chiatura at the end of February with a series of demands directed at the employer, including the restoration of underground operations in the mines — work that the manganese mining company Georgian Manganese had suspended in October, citing “financial unprofitability”, wrote OC Media.
Sources:
- GVADZABIA Mikheil, OC Media, “Chiatura miners end hunger strike”, https://oc-media.org/chiatura-miners-end-hunger-strike/

Photo: Shutterstock.com
High-profile arrests and sentences in Georgia: May 2025
May 2025 witnessed a wave of arrests and sentences of high-profile government opponents, including a former Minister of Defence, an opposition leader, and two former businessmen linked to Bidzina Ivanishvili. Businessman Giorgi Chikvaidze, a former supporter and recent critic of the ruling Georgian Dream party, was sentenced to nine years in prison by the Tbilisi City Court on May 7 on charges of embezzlement. Chikvaidze denied the charges from the outset, calling them politic.
Chikvaidze, who was involved in the yachting industry, is accused of deceiving Adjara-based businessperson Elguja Turmanidze, for whom he was supposed to bring a yacht from Italy. According to the prosecution’s version, Chikvaidze ultimately neither delivered the yacht nor returned the money paid by Turmanidze. According to a report published in mid-April by Transparency International Georgia, the case against Chikvaidze and his partner, though classified under criminal law, is potentially a civil dispute “with no evidence of fraud or elements of embezzlement”.
Two days before the verdict was announced, a post appeared on Chikvaidze’s Facebook page stating that the businessman had, through his representatives, submitted documents to the US Helsinki Commission. According to the post, the materials” ‘expose a joint operation by Russian and Georgian intelligence services aimed at recruiting senior American officials”. No further details were specified. For years, the businessperson had expressed support for the Georgian Dream, but in 2024, he openly distanced himself from the party, writes OC Media.
On May 14, former Defense Minister under the United National Movement government, Irakli Okruashvili, was sent to pre-trial detention after Tbilisi City Court Judge Nino Tarashvili granted the prosecutor’s request. This follows his non-compliance with paying bail after he refused to appear before the GD parliament’s temporary investigative commission. Okruashvili, who served as Defense Minister from 2004 to 2006 under the United National Movement government, faces charges filed under Article 349 of the Criminal Code for “failure to comply with the request of the temporary investigative commission of the Parliament of Georgia.”
Soon after Okruashvili’s detention, Zurab Japaridze, leader of the opposition party Girchi, was placed in pre-trial detention under the same Article. Japaridze, who featured prominently in the street protests last year, had also refused to pay bail and had been held in contempt by parliament. He has denounced the parliamentary probe as illegitimate and unduly influenced by the ruling party. His lawyer, Irakli Chomakhashvili, told AFP that the court ruling is a “politically motivated decision, an attempt to silence a critical political voice.”
On May 27, Giorgi Bachiashvili, a former aide to Georgian Dream founder and billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili, was arrested by the State Security Service of Georgia (SSSG). According to the official statement, “the SSSG received an anonymous tip” on May 26 alleging that Bachiashvili, a convicted dual citizen of Georgia and Russia, wanted under an Interpol Red Notice, has been spotted near the so-called “green border” between Red Bridge and Sadakhlo. This segment of Georgia’s border lies between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The agency stated that Bachiashvili was apprehended during joint investigative and operative-search efforts and thanked the Interior Ministry for its role in the arrest. Bachiashvili’s international legal team issued a statement saying that he was “forcibly returned” to Georgia, where he “faces an immediate risk of torture.” It does not specify where he was “forcibly returned” from.
Bachiashvili, once a close associate of Ivanishvili and former head of the Georgian Co-Investment Fund, covertly left Georgia on March 9, citing fears of imminent imprisonment. He claimed that his life would be in danger if he were imprisoned, alleging that Ivanishvili had threatened to “crush” him in prison. His whereabouts outside Georgia have remained unknown. While in exile, his lawyer cited intelligence from two foreign agencies warning of an active plot to kill Bachiashvili. “Groups from the Northern Caucasus, most likely Chechens,” Bachiashvili told The Guardian in an interview published the night before his arrest.
On May 30, the Tbilisi City Court ordered Nika Melia, a leader of the Akhali party, into police custody after refusing to appear before the parliamentary commission and refusing to pay the bail imposed on him for his absence. As OC Media reminds, Melia had declared that he would not pay the bail and that he was widely expected to be arrested. However, before the court could formally order his detention, Melia — whose deadline to pay bail was set for May 30 at midnight — was unexpectedly arrested by police on May 29 night in Tbilisi as he was on his way to record a podcast episode.
That same evening, the Ministry of Internal Affairs announced that Melia had been administratively detained on charges of insulting a police officer. The next day, Melia’s court hearing was held regarding his refusal to pay bail. At the conclusion of the hearing, Judge Irakli Shvangiradze ordered his pre-trial detention. Earlier, during the proceedings, Melia was expelled from the courtroom after splashing water at the judge. This occurred after he demanded that the court address what he described as his “abduction” by a group of police officers the night before. “You are part of a criminal chain, unwilling even to ask how I ended up here, who abducted me, and why”, Melia said to Shvangiradze before reaching out from the defendant’s box and splashing water from a bottle at the judge.
Sources:
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GVADZABIA Mikheil, OC Media, “Former Georgian Dream ally and businessperson sentenced to nine years in prison”, https://oc-media.org/former-georgian-dream-ally-and-businessperson-sentenced-to-nine-years-in-prison/
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GVADZABIA Mikheil, OC Media, “Second Georgian opposition leader arrested within one week”, https://oc-media.org/second-georgian-opposition-leader-arrested-within-one-week/
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Civil.ge, “Former Defense Minister Irakli Okruashvili Jailed”, https://civil.ge/archives/681281
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SEXTON Karl, DW, “Georgia jails opposition leader amid crackdown on dissent”, https://www.dw.com/en/georgia-jails-opposition-leader-amid-crackdown-on-dissent/a-72639056
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Civil.ge, “Former Ivanishvili Aide Giorgi Bachiashvili Arrested”, https://civil.ge/archives/683774
Situation of Georgian opposition forces: May 2025
In May 2025, the Georgian government passed amendments paving the way for banning opposition parties and reportedly revoked gun permits for Georgian volunteers in Ukraine after a Russian court order. On May 13, the GD Parliament adopted a legislative package amending the Organic Law on Political Associations of Citizens and the Law on the Constitutional Court in its final reading. The changes, pushed by the ruling party’s parliamentary majority leader, Mamuka Mdinaradze, are intended to authorise the Constitutional Court to prohibit opposition groups whose leadership, objectives, or activities are identical to those of the previously banned party.
The amendments to the law “On Political Associations of Citizens” specify the conditions under which a party can be banned. The listed reasons include: If its goal is to overthrow or forcibly change Georgia’s constitutional order, Promotion of war or violence, Undermining the country’s independence or violating its territorial integrity, Inciting national, ethnic, religious, or social hatred and Creating an armed formation.
In a March 28 statement announcing the planned legislative changes, Mdinaradze accused opposition parties of acting against the Georgian state, calling them “anti-Georgian, anti-constitutional, anti-national, and criminal.” He argued that parties that are “similar” to the UNM leadership, objectives, or activities – what GD refers to as the “collective UNM” – should be barred from participating in political life.
Critics have condemned the amendments as politically motivated and aimed at stifling dissent ahead of the local elections. The Social Justice Center said that the received changes broaden the grounds for banning political parties, which contradicts the constitution. It argued that introducing vague grounds for banning political parties that disregard the constitution is doubly problematic in conditions where the final decision on banning a party is made by the Constitutional Court, which has long been serving in favour of the regime and “against the spirit of the constitution.” According to the document, the law will enter into force upon publication.
In mid-May, Rati Burduli, a Georgian volunteer soldier fighting against Russia in Ukraine, shared a written order purporting to be from Georgia’s Interior Ministry stating that the country is revoking weapons possession permits for Georgians fighting in Ukraine. The order says that the revocation is in response to a conviction under Russia’s criminal code on the charges of being a mercenary, reported OC Media.
The order, which Burduli posted on Instagram, does not explicitly say who it is addressed to if it pertains to Burduli specifically or all Georgian nationals who have been convicted under the exact charges in Russia. Its veracity could not be independently verified. Opposition-aligned media outlet Publika said it had contacted Georgia’s Interior Ministry for confirmation that the order is real, as well as more details. Still, it said it had not received a response.
Sources:
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Civil.ge, “GD Parliament Passes Amendments Paving the Way for Banning Opposition Parties”, https://civil.ge/archives/681064
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JAM News, “Parliament controlled by Georgian Dream approved a law banning political parties”, https://jam-news.net/parliament-by-georgian-dream-approved-a-law-banning-political-parties/
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OSTILLER Nate, OC Media, “Georgia reportedly revokes gun permits for Georgian fighters in Ukraine after Russian court order”, https://oc-media.org/georgia-reportedly-revokes-gun-permits-for-georgian-fighters-in-ukraine-after-russian-court-order/

Photo: Shutterstock.com
Relations between Georgia and the USA deteriorated further
Despite the Georgian government’s efforts, relations between Tbilisi and Washington continued to deteriorate in May 2025. The MEGOBARI Act has passed the US House of Representatives on May 5. The bill received strong support with 349 votes in favour, including 168 Republicans and 181 Democrats, while only 42 representatives, 34 Republicans and 8 Democrats, voted against it. The bill must now be debated and voted on in the Senate, after which it will go to the President of the United States, who can sign it into law.
The bipartisan bill, sponsored by the Helsinki Commission leaders, would require the US President to sanction members and senior representatives of the Georgian Dream government who are determined to have engaged in significant acts of corruption or acts of violence and intimidation related to blocking the country’s Euro-Atlantic integration. Their immediate family members will also be subject to these sanctions.
GD Prime Minister and GD Chairman Irakli Kobakhidze, in his reaction, questioned the name of the act, which translates as “friend”. “How can this act be called the MEGOBARI Act, which from the beginning to the end is permeated with a hostile attitude towards the Georgian people and the government elected by the Georgian people. This act is hostile. The battle between Trump and the Deep State continues. If such a decision is made, it means that at that concrete moment, the Deep State has won over the Trump administration… We still have an optimistic expectation that the Trump administration will win over the Deep State.”
On the other hand, representatives of the Georgian opposition welcomed the act. The US House of Representatives, by a large majority, supported the adoption of the MEGOBARI Act, through which our American partners once again expressed their greatest support for the Georgian people and, at the same time, took an important step towards holding Ivanishvili’s usurper, violent, authoritarian, Russian regime accountable. The MEGOBARI Act calls for the freedom of political prisoners and sanctions against those who have contributed to democratic backsliding in Georgia and the increasing influence of Russia, China, and Iran,” wrote Coalition for Change in its statement.
On May 13, Kobakhidze published an open letter he had sent to US President Donald Trump and Vice President J. D. Vance, lamenting the lack of high-level communication between the governments of Georgia and the US. According to his letter, Kobakhidze had written to Trump and Vance several weeks before “concerning US-Georgia relations” and had “openly expressed Georgia’s readiness” to renew the US-Georgia Strategic Partnership from a “clean slate”, guided by a “specific roadmap”.
Kobakhidze noted in his letter that he was yet to receive a response from the Trump administration and described this silence as “surprising” and “perplexing” for both the government of Georgia and the Georgian people, arguing that his country has long remained the US’ “most reliable” strategic partner in the “volatile” surrounding region. Kobakhidze went on to point out how Georgia had fought alongside the US in critical hotspots, including Afghanistan and Iraq, allegedly providing the highest number of troops per capita. Lastly, Kobakhidze pointed out the “striking alignment of values and ideology” in the public rhetoric of the incumbent Georgian and US governments, particularly regarding the “criminal activities of the “Deep State”, USAID, NED… the war in Ukraine, gender and LGBT propaganda and many other issues”.
The open letter was apparently brushed aside. On May 21, during a US House of Representatives Foreign Affairs Committee hearing, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio referred to Georgia’s ruling Georgian Dream party as an “anti-American government” in response to a question from Congressman Joe Wilson. “For 200 consecutive days,” Wilson said, “freedom-loving Georgians have heroically taken to the streets, wrapping themselves in American flags and carrying posters of the president.” He asked Rubio what the US State Department, under his leadership, would do to “impose real costs on the anti-American Georgian Dream on behalf of the people of Georgia.”
Rubio responded: “Going back to what I’ve said earlier in my opening statement, the goal of the United States is our national interest. So we will look at that and say: is it in our national interest to have an anti-American government governing an important part of the world? And if not, we’ll take appropriate actions to impose costs on that government.” He further noted that such steps are “currently under review”.
Sources:
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Civil.ge, “MEGOBARI Act Passes House of Representatives”, https://civil.ge/archives/679853
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Civil.ge, “Political Reactions in Georgia to MEGOBARI Act”, https://civil.ge/archives/679872
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Civil.ge, “U.S. Secretary of State Rubio Calls Georgian Dream an “Anti-American Government”, Warns of Consequences”, https://civil.ge/archives/683115
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Intellinews.com, “Georgian prime minister laments lack of communication in an open letter to Trump”, https://www.intellinews.com/georgian-prime-minister-laments-lack-of-communication-in-open-letter-to-trump-381468/?source=georgia
Interior Minister Gomelauri resigned
On May 28, Vakhtang Gomelauri announced that he was stepping down as Georgia’s Minister of Internal Affairs and Vice Prime Minister. In a statement, Gomelauri did not provide a specific reason for his resignation, saying only that the decision “was not easy”. “Of course, being in high-ranking state positions for so many years is a very labour-intensive task and requires a lot of energy.” But, he said that the “calm situation” in the country made it an appropriate time to leave his post and to “ask the team to resign, which will allow me to devote more time to my family – my wife, children and my newly acquired grandchild.”
Gomelauri praised and expressed gratitude to the Georgian Dream founder and honorary chair, Bidzina Ivanishvili, saying, “His trust and example gave me a special incentive to do my job conscientiously and contribute to strengthening Georgia’s statehood.” Gomelauri has held the position for more than a decade. During his tenure, Georgia’s police have faced widespread criticism for the violent dispersal of protests, particularly those against the so-called “foreign agents” law in 2023 and 2024, as well as ongoing pro-European Union demonstrations. Human rights groups have documented hundreds of cases of police brutality and torture against protesters, writes Civil.ge.
Sources:
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Civil.ge, “GD Interior Minister Gomelauri Resigns”, https://civil.ge/archives/684167
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Civil.ge, “Kobakhidze Appoints New Interior Minister”, https://civil.ge/archives/684179
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