Strategic Analysis Caucasus Brief
Review of October 2026
Tomáš Baranec
Armenia

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Civil Contract wins in most communities in Armenia’s local elections amid arrests of some opposition members
Preliminary results from local government elections in Armenia show that the ruling Civil Contract party won the most votes in most communities where multiple political forces competed, as Armenpress reported. Armenia held local government elections in 21 communities across 10 provinces on Sunday, October 25, 2026. The ruling Civil Contract Party won in 18 communities and two majoritarian towns. Only in the town of Stepanavan did the Business Party, led by incumbent mayor Armen Grigoryan, win, receiving 41.54% of the vote. Civil Contract finished second with 35.32%.
The pre-election period was characterised by mass defection of local mayors from opposition to the ruling party. According to media reports, most of them did so to avoid criminal charges. Arush Arushanyan, a former bitter critic of Pashinyan and the mayor of the southeastern town of Goris, is a case in point. After unofficially campaigning for Pashinyan ahead of the June 2026 parliamentary elections, Arushanyan announced last month that he will seek reelection in an alliance with Civil Contract. The announcement came shortly before Armenia’s top appeals court rejected prosecutors’ demand to imprison him for defying a 2022 court ruling.
According to Azatutyun.am, defiant opposition mayors have been regularly prosecuted during Pashinyan rule on charges they have rejected as politically motivated. Vartan Ghukasian, the mayor of Gyumri, the country’s second-largest city, was arrested in October 2025, more than six months after he defeated, together with other opposition groups, Pashinyan’s party in a municipal election.
In another major urban community, Vanadzor, the leader of a local opposition bloc, Mamikon Aslanyan, was arrested in December 2021 just as he was poised to become mayor following a local election again. Aslanyan was released from custody on bail in July 2024. Ahead of the local elections in Armenia on October 25, the Investigative Committee reported the arrest of 14 individuals from the town of Stepanavan, including the Strong Armenia candidate for the head of the community, Arsen Gevorgyan, on charges of giving, assisting in, and receiving electoral bribes for the opposition Strong Armenia party, reported OC Media.
“It is obvious that many Civil Contract members want to participate in the elections in the absence of competition […] And for that, they do not hesitate to use administrative levers”, wrote Daniel Ionnisyan, Programmes Director at the Union of Informed Citizens.
Without addressing any individual criticism, Pashinyan spoke about the alleged repressions. “I call on all voters of the Republic of Armenia to go to the elections and vote against candidates and political forces that use administrative leverage, threats, excessive pressure, threats of dismissal or promises of employment, distribute and/or promise electoral bribes. If any Civil Contract candidate behaves this way, I call on you to vote against that candidate. In parallel, please contact me or law enforcement agencies about all such cases. Long live democracy”, he wrote on Facebook. In the following post, he urged citizens to organise protests if their electoral rights were violated.
Sources:
- armenpress.am, “Civil Contract wins in most of 19 communities in Armenia’s local elections”, https://armenpress.am/en/article/1263761
- Panorama.am, “Armenia’s ruling party wins most local elections, loses in Stepanavan”, https://www.panorama.am/en/news/2026/10/26/ruling-party-elections/3171918
- KAGHZAVANTSIAN Satenik, Azatutyun.am, “Another Opposition Mayor Defects To Armenia’s Ruling Party”, https://www.azatutyun.am/a/33880387.html
- GHULINYAN Ani, OC Media, “Armenian opposition candidates arrested on bribery charges ahead of local elections”, https://oc-media.org/armenian-opposition-candidates-arrested-on-bribery-charges-ahead-of-local-elections/
Azerbaijani soldier detained after crossing into Armenia and shooting a local resident
On October 1, an Azerbaijani soldier, Nasimi Musayev, entered the village of Shaki in Armenia’s Syunik Province. He shot a 39-year-old local woman in the leg with an assault rifle. The incident happened in front of her three children, two of whom also suffered injuries. Armenia’s Investigative Committee has opened a criminal case against Musayev.
The Armenian National Security Service issued a brief statement only after people began discussing the incident on social media. It emerged that Azerbaijan’s State Security Service had informed its Armenian counterparts on September 29 that a serviceman had left his unit under unknown circumstances. “Authorities could not rule out the possibility that he had illegally crossed into Armenia. The competent authorities of Armenia and Azerbaijan then launched search operations,” the statement said.
“My brother and sister came home from their classes and saw that the window was broken. They called our mother. She and our father came by car. My mother had a knife in her hand. She always kept it with her in case something like this happened, so she could protect herself. My mother went inside and stabbed him with the knife. The man then fired a shot and ran away,” the injured woman’s son told a local media outlet.
Meanwhile, her sister said the Azerbaijani man took the children hostage, while their mother, who tried to protect them, lost three fingers on her left hand. In an interview with Radio Azatutyun (Freedom), she said her sister’s two children were talking to their parents on the phone as they walked home from school. They then saw that the lock on their front door had been broken. When they entered the house, they saw an Azerbaijani soldier in the living room. They tried to call their mother for help, but the Azerbaijani man took their phone away.
Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan has effectively ruled out exchanging an Azerbaijani serviceman. Speaking in an interview with Infocom, Pashinyan said Armenia and Azerbaijan have an understanding that soldiers who cross the border should be dealt with independently of other detainee cases. “We have an understanding that cases involving soldiers crossing over and being returned will be treated separately from all other cases,” Pashinyan said.
Later, Pashinyan told Parliament that Ani Avetisyan, the Armenian woman whom an Azerbaijani shot, should have waited for police, rather than entering the property where he was alone with her children. Pashinyan called the shooting, which has sparked outcry across Armenia, a “regular criminal incident”, attracting criticism from Avetisyan’s relatives. At that time, Avetisyan was still in the hospital after the incident; she had lost a finger and had part of her leg amputated, according to her husband.
Sources:
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JAM News, “Azerbaijani soldier enters Armenia, fires at local residents”, https://jam-news.net/azerbaijani-soldier-who-entered-armenia-fired-at-local-residents/
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The Armenian Report, “Pashinyan Rejects Swapping Azerbaijani Soldier Accused of Shooting Armenian Mother for Armenian POWs”, https://www.thearmenianreport.com/post/pashinyan-rejects-swapping-azerbaijani-soldier-accused-of-shooting-armenian-mother-for-armenian-pows
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GHULINYAN Ani, OC Media, “Pashinyan suggests victim of Azerbaijani soldier shooting should have waited for police”, https://oc-media.org/pashinyan-suggests-victim-of-azerbaijani-soldier-shooting-should-have-waited-for-police/
Yerevan Pursues Cross-Border Power Lines with Both Ankara and Baku
In October, Yerevan separately discussed electricity transmission projects with both Ankara and Baku. On October 5, Armenian and Turkish officials discussed restoring and bringing the Gyumri-Kars electricity transmission line into operation as part of efforts to normalise relations between the two countries.
Armenia’s Minister of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure Davit Khudatyan met in Yerevan with a delegation led by Mustafa Pustu, chairman and director general of Turkey’s Electricity Transmission Corporation, TEİAŞ. The discussions covered work to restore the cross-border connection. Khudatyan said the two sides emphasised the importance of linking their electricity systems to support bilateral and regional cooperation.
The talks revisit an initiative pursued during the previous Armenian-Turkish diplomatic thaw in 2008–2009. Meanwhile, representatives of relevant Armenian and Azerbaijani agencies held a technical meeting in Goris on October 8 on routing power transmission lines under the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP) project.
According to Armenia’s Ministry of Territorial Administration and Infrastructure, the sides discussed technical issues related to the placement of power lines and exchanged views on the matter. They paid particular attention to coordination between the agencies and the next steps to move the work forward.
Sources:
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businessdaily.am, “Armenia and Azerbaijan discuss power line routing under TRIPP in Goris”, https://businessdaily.am/en/armenia-azerbaijan-tripp-power-lines-goris-meeting/
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Civilnet.am, “Armenia and Turkey discuss restoring cross-border power line”, https://civilnet.am/en/news/1014576

Photo: Shutterstock.com
Controversial Amulsar gold mine opens in Armenia after long delay
Armenia officially launched operations at the Amulsar gold mine on October 10, a decade after construction began on a project repeatedly delayed by environmental protests and financing setbacks, writes Civilnet.am. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan attended the opening near the spa town of Jermuk. Amulsar is Armenia’s second-largest gold deposit by volume, after Sotk. Pashinyan described the development of the Amulsar gold deposit in the southeastern Vayots Dzor province as a “success story” that will contribute to the country’s economic development. “The mineral resources that turned into gold before our eyes today belong to the Republic of Armenia and are the property of its people,” he said.
Pashinyan also said the government had addressed environmental concerns, including the risk of contamination of Lake Sevan, Armenia’s largest freshwater lake. He pointed to the absence of protests at the opening as evidence that those concerns had been resolved. Nevertheless, the My Heart Is In the Highlands initiative organised a gathering on October 19 in front of a COP17 venue demanding the closure of the Amulsar gold mine and a new environmental impact assessment.
A member of the My Heart Is In The Highlands initiative, Karine Panosyan, told OC Media that they planned to gather in front of the Green Zone, which is a COP17 venue open to the public and then intended to move on to the Blue Zone, which is the official, restricted negotiation area for UN member delegations.
“The police did not let us take our posters and walk from the Green Zone to the Blue Zone, saying it was for safety reasons. But that is very funny because we were all very safe and calm. We were not going to cause any danger or anything else. They forbid us to organise our protest here with our posters and to say what we want to say to the world about the ecological problem in Armenia”, said Panosyan.
A US-Canadian company now called Lydian Canada Ventures planned to start open-pit mining operations and produce 210,000 ounces of gold annually, worth 880 million USD at current international prices, there in late 2018, more than two years after obtaining the necessary licenses from Armenia’s former government. However, several dozen environmental protesters blocked all roads leading to Amulsar after the “velvet revolution” of April-May 2018 brought Pashinyan to power, disrupting the planned operations. The protesters said that the project would wreak havoc on the environment. Lydian denied that, saying it would use modern technology to prevent such damage.
The current Armenian government did not revoke Lydian’s mining licenses. But it refrained from using force to end the blockade, effectively siding with the protesters. By then, Lydian claimed it had invested 460 million USD.
After losing the 2020 war in Nagorno-Karabakh, the government began negotiating with Lydian to revive one of the biggest foreign investment projects in Armenia’s history. In 2023, two US and Canadian equity firms that currently own Lydian agreed to give the government a 12.5% stake in the Amulsar operation. In February 2025, Pashinyan’s government guaranteed repayment of 150 million USD in loans it obtained from Armenian banks to finish construction of production facilities at Amulsar.
Sources:
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ADAMYAN Siranush, Civilnet.am, “Armenia officially launches Amulsar gold mine after years of delays”, https://civilnet.am/en/news/1014687
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Azatutyun.am, “New Gold Mine Opens In Armenia After Years Of Disruption”, https://www.azatutyun.am/a/33875030.html
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GHULINYAN Ani, OC Media, “Protesters demand closure of Amulsar gold mine as COP17 opens”,
Armenia and US move ahead on critical minerals cooperation
The United States and Armenia are moving from agreement to action on critical minerals and advancing implementation of the US-Armenia Critical Minerals MOU, Arka.am, and Caucasus Watch reported. Yerevan and Washington have begun practical work on implementing their memorandum of understanding on critical minerals and rare earth elements.
Paul Hueper, Director of the Office of Energy Supply Chains at the US Department of State, met representatives of the Armenian government, private sector and civil society in Yerevan on September 30. The talks focused on Armenia’s mining sector, its needs and opportunities, and potential areas for US technical assistance.
The US Embassy in Yerevan described the cooperation as part of efforts to develop secure and diversified critical-minerals supply chains and strengthen the economic dimension of the US-Armenia Strategic Partnership. For Armenia, the agreement creates an avenue for greater cooperation with the United States in a sector the government sees as having investment and economic development potential. The September 30 meetings moved the discussion beyond the framework agreement to consultations with government officials, businesses, and civil society.
No specific investment project or financial commitment was announced during the meetings. On May 26, 2026, Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio signed a framework memorandum in Yerevan to secure supply chains for extracting and processing critical minerals and rare-earth elements.
Sources:
- Arka.am, “Armenia and the US Advance Cooperation on Critical Minerals”, https://arka.am/en/news/economy/armenia-and-the-us-advance-cooperation-on-critical-minerals/
- Caucasus Watch, “Armenia and US Move Ahead on Critical Minerals Cooperation”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/armenia-and-us-move-ahead-on-critical-minerals-cooperation.html
Talysh activist Hafiz Ismayilov arrested in Azerbaijan
Talysh activist Hafiz Ismailov, who arrived in Baku for the anniversary of his father’s death, has been detained on charges of inciting hatred. The Talysh community in Azerbaijan has linked his arrest to the practice of persecuting Talysh activists. “On September 6, Hafiz Ismailov and his brother were taken by security forces from their sister’s apartment in the Binagadi district of Baku. However, after some time, security forces released the brother. No information about Hafiz Ismailov’s fate emerged for almost two weeks. Then the family was officially informed that Hafiz Ismailov is being held in the detention centre of the State Security Service. He has been charged under Article 283 (incitement of national, racial, social, or religious hatred and enmity) of the Criminal Code of Azerbaijan. Initially, he had a court-appointed lawyer. But later, relatives hired another lawyer for his defence. Still, he has not yet been able to meet with Ismailov,” a representative of the Talysh community in Azerbaijan told a correspondent of Caucasian Knot.
According to the source, Ismailov is a citizen of the Russian Federation, has lived in Nizhny Tagil for a long time, served in the police, and resigned five years ago. “To be honest, we do not understand the reason for Hafiz Ismailov’s arrest. He did not engage in any political activity in Azerbaijan. Hafiz Ismailov only reposted publications on social networks defending the rights of Talysh arrested in Azerbaijan and critical materials about the socio-economic life in Azerbaijan…” he said to Caucasian Knot.
Talysh (self-name – “tolish”) are people living in Azerbaijan and Iran. According to the 2009 population census in Azerbaijan, the Talysh population was estimated at 112,000, but other estimates put the total Talysh population in the republic at 500,000.
The Union for the Freedom of Political Prisoners of Azerbaijan published a list of political prisoners. The new list includes 322 people, including six activists classified as representatives of national minorities. The list was compiled by Leyla Yunus, director of the Institute for Peace and Democracy, and Elshan Hasanov, head of the Political Prisoners Monitoring Centre.
Sources:
- Caucasian Knot, “A Talysh from Russia has been arrested in Baku on charges of inciting hatred”,https://www.eng.kavkaz-uzel.eu/articles/79006
- Talysh News, “Talysh Activist Hafiz Ismailov Added to Azerbaijan’s New Political Prisoners List”, https://talysh.eu/talysh-activist-hafiz-ismailov-added-to-azerbaijans-new-political-prisoners-list/
Germany’s ex-spy chief arrested, suspected of espionage for Azerbaijan
August Hanning, who ran Germany’s BND foreign intelligence agency from 1998 to 2005, is accused of espionage, treason and working for foreign intelligence services, federal prosecutors said. The news magazine Spiegel, citing unnamed sources, reported that Hanning had been in contact with an intelligence operative from Azerbaijan. Hanning’s former chief of staff, partially identified as Manfred D., who continued working for the spy agency until March 2026, was also arrested. He is accused of obtaining classified information while working for Hanning’s successors and selling it to his former boss, who worked as a private-sector consultant. Hanning then allegedly used the information in his private consulting work, which included preparing a briefing for a foreign spy and passing information to an agent of another foreign intelligence service, prosecutors said.
German news outlet Deutsche Welle described Hanning’s arrest as Germany’s “biggest espionage scandal of the century”. If found guilty, treason carries a maximum sentence of life imprisonment in Germany. Azerbaijan has denied a report from a German magazine that claimed a former German spy chief used classified state secrets to prepare an “analysis” for Baku’s intelligence services in exchange for money.
Sources:
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France24.com, “German ex-spy chief arrested for suspected espionage, treason”, https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20261006-germany-arrests-ex-spy-chief-on-suspicion-of-giving-secrets-to-foreign-powers
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OCCRP, “Azerbaijan Denies Link to Espionage Case Involving Former German Spy Chief”, https://www.occrp.org/en/news/azerbaijan-denies-link-to-espionage-case-involving-former-german-spy-chief
Production starts in Azerbaijan’s first Israeli weapons factory
Azerbaijan has established local rifle production in cooperation with Israeli arms manufacturer Ari Arms. The new factory manufactures rifles based on the AR-15 platform. Its opening in early October 2026, attended by President Ilham Aliyev, marks another step in military-industrial cooperation between the two countries, European Security and Defence reported.
The manufacturing facility was established through cooperation between Ari Arms and Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Defence Industry. The plant produces the OR-4 model, which is based on the Western AR-15 platform. According to available information, this is the first time Azerbaijan has produced Western-designed rifles.
The facility is intended to establish domestic industrial manufacturing capacity. Ari Arms is a subsidiary of AS Holidays. Through the project, the company aims to expand domestic production and strengthen Azerbaijan’s industrial independence.
President Ilham Aliyev also attended the official opening ceremony in early October 2026. No further details were provided regarding production capacity, output figures, or the planned share of locally sourced components.
ARI Arms has previously worked with the Philippines and Armenia, and won an IDF tender in 2025. ARI Arms signed the contract shortly after winning a different order at the end of 2024— which it then quickly cancelled, with Israel’s Defence Ministry citing “flaws in the bidding process”, a claim ARI Arms disputes. Before receiving the contract, a Haaretz investigation reported that the firm had little weapons experience, having previously specialised in metal and plastic processing, OC Media said.
Sources:
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EGOZI Arie, “Euro-sd.com, Azerbaijan Produces Ari Arms Rifles in Israel Partnership”, https://euro-sd.com/2026/10/news/land/54279/azerbaijan-ari-arms/
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MC BRIDE, Elizabeth, OC Media, “Production starts in Azerbaijan’s first Israeli weapons factory”, https://oc-media.org/production-starts-in-azerbaijans-first-israeli-weapons-factory/
Azerbaijan’s New School Dress Code Sparks Protests and Detentions Over Hijab Restrictions
In September and October, Azerbaijan introduced new dress requirements for teachers and students at state schools, sparking widespread discontent and protests. The amendments, approved by the Cabinet of Ministers on September 21, prohibit clothing deemed to violate school uniform requirements or conflict with secular education principles. The hijab is not explicitly mentioned, leaving schools to interpret how the rules apply.
Parents in Baku and elsewhere said school administrations have told girls to remove their headscarves or barred them from classes. Some students have boycotted lessons. The measure sparked local protests. The Interior Ministry said on October 12 that it had detained 37 people for refusing to comply with the new rules and for attempting to disrupt public order.
Meanwhile, Azerbaijan’s top Muslim cleric, Sheikh-ul-Islam Allahshukur Pashazadeh, has rejected claims that the country has banned the hijab in schools. The cleric stressed that the rules do not explicitly mention the hijab and accused unnamed forces of using religion to turn people against the state. At the end of September, authorities detained theologian Abgul Suleymanov for 30 days. His family links his detention to social media posts in which he spoke out against new school uniform requirements concerning the wearing of the hijab.
As OC Media explains, Azerbaijan is a secular state with a predominantly Muslim population. The authorities have long maintained a distinction between religious belief and the secular character of public institutions. However, applying school uniform rules to religious headscarves has repeatedly caused tension. Critics argue that preventing girls from attending school because of their hijab could restrict their right to education and freedom of religion. Supporters of a strict dress code, meanwhile, point to the need to maintain secular education and common rules in public schools.
The central issue, according to OC Media, is that, although the new regulations do not explicitly ban the hijab, reports of students being turned away from schools suggest that the rules may be applied to restrict its use. By framing the rules as applying to all students, the authorities can present them as a general school uniform policy rather than a measure targeting the hijab specifically.
The hijab issue has previously triggered protests in Azerbaijan. In 2010–2012, restrictions on wearing headscarves in educational institutions led to demonstrations and arrests.
Sources:
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RFERL.org, Schools In Azerbaijan Turn Away Girls Wearing Hijabs As Debate Over Religious Freedom Intensifies, https://www.rferl.org/a/azerbaijan-hijab-schools-religious-freedom/33876565.html
SHABAZOV Rafig, OC Media, “Azerbaijan’s top cleric claims no hijab ban in schools”, https://oc-media.org/azerbaijans-top-cleric-claims-no-hijab-ban-in-schools/
SHABAZOV Rafig, OC Media, “Explainer | Why are schoolchildren protesting a hijab ban in Azerbaijan?”, https://oc-media.org/explainer-why-are-schoolchildren-protesting-a-hijab-ban-in-azerbaijan/
JAM News, “Theologian jailed for 30 days as Azerbaijan hijab-in-schools row reignites”, https://jam-news.net/azerbaijan-schools-hijab-row/
Georgia appoints special representative for relations with Russia after yearlong vacancy
On October 21, Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze appointed Giorgi Zurabashvili, the first deputy foreign minister, as his special representative for relations with Russia. The post had remained vacant since December 2025, JAM News reported. Kobakhidze said the role was essential to efforts to resolve the conflict with Russia peacefully, maintain and develop trade and economic ties, and sustain dialogue on humanitarian issues. With Georgia and Russia having no diplomatic relations, he said, the special representative’s work plays a key role alongside the Geneva discussions.
Zurabashvili previously headed several departments at the Georgian Foreign Ministry and served as an ambassador. He became deputy foreign minister in 2024 and was appointed first deputy foreign minister on July 1, 2025. Kobakhidze described him as an experienced diplomat and said he was confident his knowledge and experience would enable him to fulfil the position’s responsibilities.
Grigol Gegelia, one of the leaders of the Strong Georgia–Lelo opposition coalition, whose party the government is seeking to ban, believes that: “This is a direct, cynical signal that the parties are being banned at Russia’s behest, and that on the very same day, in a synchronised move, a person is appointed to pursue warmer relations with Russia.”
Moscow welcomed the appointment. Konstantin Zatulin, first deputy chairman of the Russian State Duma’s Committee on CIS Affairs, called the decision a step in the right direction. “The decision to appoint a special representative is a step in the right direction. Relations between Russia and Georgia must develop,” Zatulin said.
Sources:
- JAM News, “Georgia appoints new special envoy for relations with Russia: what does it mean?”, https://jam-news.net/georgia-appoints-new-special-envoy-for-relations-with-russia-what-does-it-mean/
- DUMBADZE Ana, “Giorgi Zurabashvili appointed PM’s special representative for Russia relations”, https://georgiatoday.ge/giorgi-zurabashvili-appointed-pms-special-representative-for-russia-relations/
Georgia’s external trade hits 20.5 billion USD as IMF projects 7.2% economic growth
Georgia’s external merchandise trade turnover reached 20.54 billion USD in January-September 2026, increasing by 9.2% year-on-year, according to the IMF on October 19. Exports rose by 19.6% to 6.15 billion USD, while imports increased by 5.3% to 14.38 billion USD. The resulting trade deficit stood at 8.23 billion USD, equivalent to 40.1% of total trade turnover, Caucasus Watch reported.
Motor cars remained Georgia’s leading traded commodity on both sides of the trade balance. Vehicle exports totalled 1.53 billion USD, accounting for 24.9% of exports, while imports reached 2.65 billion USD, representing 18.4% of imports. Petroleum and petroleum oils ranked second among both exports, at 811.8 million USD, and imports, at 1.41 billion USD. Precious metal ores and concentrates were Georgia’s third-largest export category, worth 464 million USD, while medicaments in measured doses ranked third among imports at 526.8 million USD.
Kyrgyzstan was Georgia’s largest export market, receiving goods worth 650.2 million USD, followed by China at 583.1 million USD and Russia at 566.7 million USD. Turkey remained the largest import partner, with supplies totalling 2.19 billion USD, ahead of China at 1.75 billion USD and the United States at 1.72 billion USD. The ten largest destinations accounted for 67.8% of exports, while the ten largest import partners represented 69.2% of imports.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts slower economic growth in Georgia in 2027. For 2026, the IMF projects Georgia’s economy to expand by 7.2%. For comparison, Armenia’s economy should grow by 5.5% and Azerbaijan’s by 1.7%. The IMF’s labour-market projections present a different picture. Georgia’s unemployment rate is forecast to remain at 13.9% in both 2026 and 2027.
Sources:
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Caucasus Watch, “Georgia’s Foreign Trade Rises 9.2% as Exports Outpace Imports”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/georgias-foreign-trade-rises-92-as-exports-outpace-imports.html
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Caucasus Watch, “IMF Projects Slower Growth Across South Caucasus in 2027, With Georgia Remaining Ahead”, https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/imf-projects-slower-growth-across-south-caucasus-in-2027-with-georgia-remaining-ahead.html

Photo: Shutterstock.com
Opposition launches “Georgia Without Ivanishvili” campaign
Georgia’s opposition has launched a new campaign against the ruling Georgian Dream party, calling for a “Georgia without Ivanishvili” as the country’s Constitutional Court considers a government lawsuit seeking to ban five major opposition parties, EU Alive reported. The campaign was announced at a rally in Tbilisi on October 25, where demonstrators gathered near the first building of Tbilisi State University before marching towards Rustaveli metro station. The opposition alliance said the immediate goal was to mobilise supporters for a large-scale demonstration planned for November 28.
Addressing the crowd, Nika Gvaramia, a leader of the Coalition for Change, said the November rally should be the campaign’s high point and urged supporters to focus on numbers. “November 28 must be the peak day. We must realise that numbers are what matter,” Gvaramia said, arguing that the opposition had reached a point where mass participation could deliver results. Tamar Chergoleishvili, a Federalist leader, said the attempt to ban political alternatives reflected weakness rather than strength. “By banning the alternative, Ivanishvili is acknowledging his own crisis of legitimacy,” she said. “He admits that he no longer trusts the Georgian people and is afraid of their free choice.”
Levan Tsutskiridze, leader of Freedom Square, urged citizens to support political parties even if they considered them imperfect, arguing that meaningful change would be impossible without stronger political organisations. As OC Media reminded, the opposition alliance, established in March 2026, includes nine political parties: Ahali, Girchi – More Freedom, Droa, United National Movement (UNM), Strategy Aghmashenebeli, Freedom Square, Federalists, European Georgia, and National Democratic Party (NDP).
Sources:
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Eualive.net, “Georgian opposition mobilises against move to ban five political parties”, https://eualive.net/georgian-opposition-mobilises-against-move-to-ban-five-political-parties/
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KOKAIA Lana, OC Media, “Opposition launches ‘Georgia Without Ivanishvili’ campaign amid case to ban opposition”, https://oc-media.org/opposition-launches-georgia-without-ivanishvili-campaign-amid-case-to-ban-opposition/
Gela Geladze leaves Georgian Interior Ministry post after just six weeks
Former Interior Minister and State Security Service Chief Geka Geladze has left his latest position as Deputy Interior Minister and joined the three-member supervisory board of the Georgian Oil and Gas Corporation (GOGC), a state-run company managing national energy systems, Civil.ge reports.
Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze issued a corresponding order on November 2, while pro-government media sources reported that Geladze has been appointed as a member of the GOGC board. According to the ministry, the corporation’s charter provides for a three-member supervisory board. The board oversees the corporation’s activities and helps prepare and decide on key strategic matters.
“Geka Geladze possesses long-standing experience working in the public sector. At various times, he served as Minister of Internal Affairs and Head of the State Security Service. Before he was appointed a member of the Supervisory Board of the Georgian Oil and Gas Corporation, he held the position of Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs,” the Ministry of Economy’s statement noted. The board’s other members are Chairman Vazha Khidasheli and Deputy Chairman Giorgi Chachibaia, according to the agency’s official website.
As OC Media reminds, in September, Geladze became the third Georgian security chief to resign in just 13 months. State Security Service of Georgia (SSSG) reshuffles have taken place against the backdrop of arrests and prosecutions of several former senior officials — including former Prime Minister Irakli Gharibashvili and another former SSSG chief, Grigol Liluashvili. Both are currently imprisoned on corruption charges.
Geladze’s SSSG predecessor Mamuka Mdinaradze was appointed to a newly created, apparently lower-profile state ministerial post after leaving the SSSG in April 2026: a move widely viewed by critics as a demotion. In late August, the prominent ruling party politician announced his complete withdrawal from politics. Mdinaradze’s predecessor, Anri Okhanashvili, also resigned after just under five months in August 2025.
Sources:
- MCBRIDE Elizabeth, OC Media, “Gela Geladze leaves Georgian Interior Ministry post after just six weeks”, https://oc-media.org/gela-geladze-leaves-georgia-interior-ministry-post-after-just-six-weeks/
- Civil.ge, “Geladze Leaves Deputy Interior Minister Post, Joins Oil And Gas Corporation Board”, https://civil.ge/archives/756397
- 1tv.ge, “Geka Geladze dismissed as Deputy Interior Minister and appointed to Oil and Gas Corporation Board”, https://1tv.ge/lang/en/news/geka-geladze-dismissed-as-deputy-interior-minister-and-appointed-to-oil-and-gas-corporation-board/


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